Stock Market Trend - 03 September 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: The biggest rally in copper in three months is reversing as analysts predict that the largest glut in 13 years will overwhelm consumption from an accelerating Chinese economy, which uses two in every five tons.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude swung between gains and losses after rising for the first time in three days yesterday as U.S. lawmakers urged backing for military action against Syria, fanning concern that possible strikes may disrupt Middle East oil exports.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed after dropping for three days to a one-week low as investors assessed prospects for reduced stimulus in the U.S. as the world’s largest economy recovers.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Construction PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, ISM Manufacturing Prices.

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India Morning Call-Global markets

                            LEVEL   NET/CLOSE  PCT/YIELD

 DJIA                    14810.31      -30.64      -0.21

 S&P 500                  1632.97        -5.2      -0.32

 FTSE                     6412.93      -70.12      -1.08

 MSCI Asia-Pac Ex-JP        438.5        3.42       0.79

                                               

 Nikkei                  13484.33       95.47       0.71

 Euro                      1.3205       1.322           

 Japanese Yen               98.51       98.15           

 U.S. Crude                105.96       -1.69           

 Brent                     112.76       -1.25           

 Gold                     1389.65     1395.69           

 Silver                     23.82       23.46           

 Copper-LME                7237.5       137.5       1.94

 UST 10-YR                   97.5                 2.7894

 UST 30-YR              98.515625                 3.7162

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 02 SEPTEMBER 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper led gains in industrial metals after a gauge of manufacturing in China, the biggest consumer of commodities, rose to a 16-month high.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a third day after President Barack Obama said he’ll seek authorization from Congress before ordering military action against Syria, easing concern that an imminent strike would disrupt Middle East oil exports.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fell as prospects for an attack against Syria receded, and on bets the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to pare stimulus as the economy improves. Silver halted a three-day drop as manufacturing in China sustained an expansion.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m, Manufacturing PMI.

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INDIAN STOCK MARKET – 31 AUGUST 2013

INDIAN FACE

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARK rose over 1% in a volatile session, marking its highest close in nearly two weeks as blue chip shares surged tracking a rebound in the rupee for a second day, ahead of April-June GDP data. Ebbing prospects of a U.S.-led military strike against Syria were also seen helping shares even as foreign investors sold over $1 billion worth of shares in the previous 10 sessions through Thursday.

Further, Software exporters gained to record highs on improving U.S. business prospects.

Tech Mahindra Ltd rose 0.7 percent after Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of its shares at “overweight” and a target price of 1,650 rupees, saying they remain undervalued.

GLOBAL FACE

Most Asian markets traded higher following a raft of regional economic data points.

European stocks were sharply, ahead of euro zone economic reports as fears over a potential military intervention in Syria by the U.S. and its allies weighed, sparking losses in commodity-linked stocks.

U.S. stock futures pointed to a higher open on Friday, as investors eyed the release of U.S. data later in the day, after positive U.S. economic reports indicated that the recovery is on track.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 30 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell on Wednesday as the dollar rose and as nervousness over a potential U.S.-led military strike against Syria made investors more adverse to risk, while concerns over excessive copper supply in China also weighed.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day after U.K. lawmakers rejected a motion for military action against Syria, reducing the prospect of an imminent strike and easing concern that unrest will disrupt Middle East supplies.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fell, trimming a fourth weekly gain, after better-than-expected U.S. economic data backed the case for the Federal Reserve to slow stimulus just as tensions over Syria eased, with U.K. lawmakers rejecting military action.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Chicago PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 29 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper dropped for a third day on mounting tensions in Syria before a report that may show the U.S. economy grew more than previously estimated, adding to the case for the Federal Reserve to taper stimulus.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil fell from the highest settlement in more than two years, dropping for the first time in three days. U.S. crude stockpiles increased by 2.99 million barrels last week, a government report showed.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated from a three-month high spurred by tensions over Syria as U.S. economic data may reinforce the case for the Federal Reserve to slow stimulus and a technical indicator showed that prices were set to decline.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, Private Capital Expenditure q/q, Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Natural Gas Storage.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 28 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced as China eased rules on overseas securities investments and after U.S. consumer confidence added to signs of improving demand in the biggest economy.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude surged to the highest price since May 2011 on concern that conflict in Syria may spread to other parts of the Middle East and threaten oil supplies.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near the highest level since May after a four-day rally as speculation that the U.S. may lead military strikes against Syria within days spurred investors’ demand for a haven. Silver and platinum advanced. Commodities advanced to the highest level in more than six months as escalating tension in Syria spurred a rally in oil on concern that supplies from the Middle East may be disrupted.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Pending Home Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 27 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell for the first time in three days as a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. durable-goods orders stoked concern demand in the world’s second-biggest user will slow and as tensions mounted in the Middle East.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for the third time in four days after the U.S. said it will hold the Syrian government accountable for the use of chemical weapons, fanning concern that unrest may disrupt crude supplies.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated from the highest level in more than two months amid signs of weaker physical demand in China, and after a technical indicator signaled that prices may be poised to decline. Silver and platinum fell.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: German Ifo Business Climate, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 26 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper saw a bounce towards the weekend as signs of re-emerging appetite for the metal in top consumer China boosted the demand outlook and helped offset concerns over a tapering of monetary stimulus in the United States.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a third day as speculation the Federal Reserve will maintain economic stimulus boosted the demand outlook in the world’s biggest oil user. Brent’s premium to WTI narrowed.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold swung between gains and losses after climbing to the highest level since June as investors weighed the outlook for stimulus in the U.S., with a slump in new-home sales boosting the case for sustained debt-buying.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.

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STOCK MARKET TREND – 23 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures in New York rose for the second time in three days after manufacturing unexpectedly expanded in China, the world’s largest consumer of the metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed in New York after climbing the most in almost two weeks as signs of an improving U.S. jobs market bolstered the economic outlook in the world’s biggest oil user.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traders are the most bearish in nine weeks after Federal Reserve policy makers backed plans to taper stimulus if the economy strengthens, eclipsing a surge in demand for physical metal that drove prices to a two-month high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Second Estimate GDP q/q, Core CPI m/m, New Home Sales, Jackson Hole Symposium.

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Stock Market trend – 22 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper led gains in industrial metals after a manufacturing index in China increased in August from an 11-month low, adding to signs the world’s second-biggest economy is stabilizing.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest level in almost two weeks as signs that the U.S. will taper economic stimulus this year raised speculation oil demand may falter in the world’s biggest consumer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold pared losses as investors weighed the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s last meeting, which reinforced expectations that stimulus will be tapered, against an unexpected increase in China’s manufacturing.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: HSBC Flash Manufacturing  PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Core Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, HPI m/m, CB Leading Index m/m, Natural Gas Storage, Jackson Hole Symposium.

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Stock Market Trend – 21 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper and zinc declined ahead of minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting that may provide clues on the pace of stimulus and trade data from China, the biggest user of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses after declining the most in two months yesterday amid speculation the Federal Reserve will taper economic stimulus. Industry data showed U.S. supplies fell.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fluctuated between gains and losses before the U.S. Federal Reserve releases minutes from its last meeting, which may provide clues on whether the pace of stimulus will be slowed amid signs of increased bullion demand.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Existing Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

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Stock Market Trend – 20 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures posted the biggest drop in almost three weeks as concern that the Federal Reserve will scale back U.S. monetary stimulus clouded prospects for metal demand.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil was little changed after declining yesterday for the first time in seven days. Government data tomorrow is forecast to show U.S. crude stockpiles fell to the lowest level since September.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fluctuated between gains and losses after dropping from a two-month high as investors weighed the prospect of reduced stimulus in the U.S. against increased demand for an alternative investment.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks, German PPI m/m, Wholesale Sales m/m.

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Stock Market Trend – 19 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper hit a 10-week high heading for a third week of gains, on expectations that a global economic recovery would increase demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil swung between gains and losses after rising to the highest price in two weeks. New York crude’s discount to London-traded Brent futures widened.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold rose to a two-month high after holdings in the largest exchange-traded product posted the first weekly expansion this year. Silver headed for the longest rally since March 2008.

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Stock Market Trend – 19 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper hit a 10-week high heading for a third week of gains, on expectations that a global economic recovery would increase demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil swung between gains and losses after rising to the highest price in two weeks. New York crude’s discount to London-traded Brent futures widened.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold rose to a two-month high after holdings in the largest exchange-traded product posted the first weekly expansion this year. Silver headed for the longest rally since March 2008.

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Stock Market Trend – 16 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper was set to gain for a third week after an unexpected drop in U.S. jobless claims and expanded manufacturing data signaled the world’s biggest economy continues to mend.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in two weeks as an escalating conflict in Egypt fanned concern that oil shipments through the country may be disrupted.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold gained to a two-month high, heading for the best week in five, as lower equities and signs of rising physical purchases spurred demand. Silver was set for the best week since October 2011.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing Sales m/m, Building Permits, Housing Starts, Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.

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Stock Market Trend – 14 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper swung between gains and losses as investors weighed the outlook of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s stimulus policy against recent signs of recovery in economies from the U.S. to China.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate snapped a three-day rising streak after an industry report showed fuel stockpiles increased in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent fell from the highest close since April.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: The third increase in import taxes on gold this year by India, the world’s biggest user, is set to boost smuggling ahead of the festival and wedding seasons as official imports halt on central bank curbs, a trade group said.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Claimant Count Change, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, Flash GDP q/q, PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks.

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